Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Santo Tomas Eviction Risk: Lower , Scottsdale
Tract 04013105004 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,555 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013105004 in the Santo Tomas area of Paradise Valley, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,555. Cost burden runs 28% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,367
Renter share8.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$215,324
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Scottsdale and the region
Centroid at 33.5442, -111.9413 · click any tract to drill in
Why Santo Tomas scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Scottsdale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Scottsdale
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Scottsdale
2.4
How Santo Tomas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.6%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Santo Tomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.1%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 10.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Santo Tomas
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 79.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.1% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 10 evictions over 4 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2002, when 20.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013105004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013105004?
Census tract 04013105004 in the Santo Tomas neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013105004?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013105004?
2.5% of residents in tract 04013105004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,555.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013105004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 28th, minority 40th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 04013105004 considered part of Santo Tomas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013105004 fall within Santo Tomas (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013105004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013105004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.58% of renter households, peaking at 20.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013105004 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013105004 compare to Scottsdale overall?
Tract 04013105004 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Scottsdale at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Scottsdale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Scottsdale
Top eight tracts in Scottsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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