Paradise Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 79.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 5.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 4 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.