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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Ridgegate Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103614 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,888 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

04013103614 is a census tract in the Ridgegate area of Phoenix, AZ. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,888. Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, roughly one in eight of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 16% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$100,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Ridgegate
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#257 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#513 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#944 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6054, -112.0852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ridgegate scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,169 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Ridgegate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ridgegate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 103614Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 54Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 12.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak (2002)
  • 9Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131036142001: 11 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2002: 13 filings (15.12/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (13.95/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (10.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ridgegate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ridgegate

At $2,169 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Phoenix commands. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Court records carry 54 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 15.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $100,688.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103614

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103614?

Census tract 04013103614 in the Ridgegate neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103614?

Median gross rent is $2,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103614?

10.6% of residents in tract 04013103614 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,888.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103614?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 38th, minority 42th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103614 considered part of Ridgegate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103614 fall within Ridgegate (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103614?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103614 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.58% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103614 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103614 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103614 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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