Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Maryvale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013109702 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,918 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 04013109702 covers part of the Maryvale area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,376
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$58,523
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4869, -112.2331 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maryvale scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,372 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Maryvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 122Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2001)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maryvale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.1%Housing insecurity
- 15.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.7%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 19.4%Transit barriers
- 34.0%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 41.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maryvale
Food insecurity runs 40.7% against 17.8% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 122 filings here across 5 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,372, 13% below the Phoenix average.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2001 at 16.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013109702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013109702?
Census tract 04013109702 in the Maryvale neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013109702?
Median gross rent is $1,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013109702?
20.8% of residents in tract 04013109702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013109702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 88th, minority 85th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 04013109702 considered part of Maryvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013109702 fall within Maryvale (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013109702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013109702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.49% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013109702 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013109702 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013109702 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
County Fair West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04013112900
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Park Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Wabash Trailer Court
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Centura West
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Alhambra
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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