Neighborhood · Ranked #22,404 of 84,120 nationally

Surprise Original Townsite Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013060901 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,810 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 04013060901 sits in the Surprise Original Townsite neighborhood of Surprise, Arizona. It has a population of 4,810 and an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). 72% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 62% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,783/month against a median household income of $83,141 — roughly 26% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 7% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,543

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$83,141

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Surprise and the region

Centroid at 33.6179, -112.3354 · click any tract to drill in

Why Surprise Original Townsite scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Surprise

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,783 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Surprise

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Surprise

6.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Surprise

6.0

How Surprise Original Townsite compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

244Total filings over 5 yrs
98.78%Avg annual filing rate
137.0%Peak (2003)
59Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 — 2005

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Surprise Original Townsite. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.9%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
21.6%Food insecurity
15.1%SNAP enrollment
11.4%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About tract 04013060901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013060901?

Census tract 04013060901 in the Surprise Original Townsite neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013060901?

Median gross rent is $1,783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013060901?

10.5% of residents in tract 04013060901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,810.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013060901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 91th, minority 80th, housing 39th.

Is tract 04013060901 considered part of Surprise Original Townsite?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013060901 fall within Surprise Original Townsite (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013060901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 244 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013060901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 98.78% of renter households, peaking at 137.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013060901 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013060901 compare to Surprise overall?

Tract 04013060901 scores 5.9/10 — higher than the parent city of Surprise at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Surprise eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Surprise

Top eight tracts in Surprise ranked by composite eviction-risk score.