Agua Fria Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Mirage
Tract 04013061041 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,712 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013061041 covers part of the Agua Fria area of El Mirage, AZ, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,712 residents. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across El Mirage and the region
Centroid at 33.6016, -112.3292 · click any tract to drill in
Why Agua Fria scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Agua Fria compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2,480.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 5,741.3%Peak (2004)
- 28Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Agua Fria. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.3%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.5%Transit barriers
- 19.0%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Agua Fria
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.2/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 97 evictions over 4 years of observation.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 5,741.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2,480.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 04013061041
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061041?
What is the average rent in tract 04013061041?
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061041?
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061041?
Is tract 04013061041 considered part of Agua Fria?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061041?
What share of households in tract 04013061041 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 04013061041 compare to El Mirage overall?
Highest-risk tracts in El Mirage
Top eight tracts in El Mirage ranked by composite eviction-risk score.