Surprise Original Townsite Eviction Risk: Lower

Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. At $1,584 a month, rents sit 22% under what the rest of Surprise commands.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. Filings are well documented here: 656 across 4 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.6/10.

The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 137.0% of renter households. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Surprise, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 90.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Arapaho Village and Arizona Traditions. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,428.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.