Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Raintree Eviction Risk: Lower , Tempe
Tract 04013319909 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,454 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 04013319909 sits in the Raintree area of Tempe eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$147,537
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.3425, -111.9009 · click any tract to drill in
Why Raintree scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,383 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How Raintree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2005)
- 5Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Raintree
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,383, 37% above the Tempe average. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 4 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 4.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013319909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319909?
Census tract 04013319909 in the Raintree neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013319909?
Median gross rent is $2,383/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319909?
2.0% of residents in tract 04013319909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 33th, minority 37th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 04013319909 considered part of Raintree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319909 fall within Raintree (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319909?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013319909 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013319909 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013319909 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013319909 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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