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Neighborhood · Tempe, AZ

Raintree Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,454 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Raintree maps to a single census tract in Tempe, AZ, population 2,454. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. 60% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Tempe rate of 31.3%.

At $2,383 a month, rents sit 37% over what the rest of Tempe commands. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 10 eviction filings.

Food insecurity affects 6.1% of adults, 11.7 points below the national rate. 3.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.2/10.

The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 4.9% of renter households. Among the 14 mapped neighborhoods of Tempe, it ranks #11 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Raintree vs Tempe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +93%
Tempe: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$2,383 +37%
Tempe: $1,743
Average HH income
$147,537 +90%
Tempe: $77,643
Poverty rate
2.0% -88%
Tempe: 16.2%
Renter share
7.3% -87%
Tempe: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Raintree and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Raintree scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Raintree vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Raintree score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Raintree: 3.03.0RaintreeNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Raintree

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013319909 3 2,454 60% $2,383
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Raintree

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings (sum)
  • 2.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak year (2005)
  • 4.94%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Raintree

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Raintree

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Raintree?

Raintree scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Raintree compare to Tempe overall?

Raintree scores 1.2 points lower than Tempe overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,383 vs $1,743.
Q3

What is the average rent in Raintree?

Average gross rent in Raintree is $2,383/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Raintree residents are renters?

7% of Raintree households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Tempe). The neighborhood has 2,454 residents.
Q5

Is Raintree a high social-vulnerability area?

Raintree sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Raintree for landlords?

Raintree carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tempe as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Raintree?

Raintree has 2,539 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.3%), Hispanic / Latino (15.6%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Raintree

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tempe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Raintree.

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