Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013318900 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,516 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 04013318900 covers part of the Tempe Junction area of Tempe, AZ, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 41% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units2,557

Renter share63.4%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate17.3%

Median income$80,976

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4147, -111.9522 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tempe Junction scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tempe

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

17.3% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,589 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tempe

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tempe

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tempe

4.5

How Tempe Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,212Total filings over 5 yrs
16.74%Avg annual filing rate
18.7%Peak (2005)
282Filings in 2005 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2001 to 2005

Filings climbed 51% over the past 5 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.3%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
9.3%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction

Cost burden runs 36% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,212 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 18.7% of renter households. At $1,589 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Tempe commands.

In a typical year about 16.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013318900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013318900?

Census tract 04013318900 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04013318900?

Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013318900?

17.3% of residents in tract 04013318900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,516.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013318900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 12th, minority 56th, housing 52th.

Is tract 04013318900 considered part of Tempe Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013318900 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013318900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,212 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013318900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.74% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 04013318900 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04013318900 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013318900 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org