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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319600 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,644 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 04013319600 in the Tempe Junction area of Tempe, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,644. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 32% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,270
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$88,860

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 9 tracts In Tempe Junction
Low
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#185 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#306 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.4002, -111.9349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tempe Junction scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,686 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Tempe Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tempe Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 319600Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 526Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 9.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2005)
  • 157Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133196002001: 89 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 89 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 87 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2004: 104 filings (9.48/100 renter HHs)2005: 157 filings (14.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 76% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Cost burden runs 40% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.

The filing record is not thin: 526 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319600?

Census tract 04013319600 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319600?

Median gross rent is $1,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319600?

17.9% of residents in tract 04013319600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,644.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 24th, minority 55th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319600 considered part of Tempe Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319600 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 526 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.66% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319600 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319600 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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