Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tempe
Tract 04013319903 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,212 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 04013319903 in the The Lakes area of Tempe, AZ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,292
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$100,567
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tempe and the region
Centroid at 33.3704, -111.9155 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,682 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5
How The Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 516Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.6%Peak (2002)
- 112Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes
Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 516 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013319903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319903?
Census tract 04013319903 in the The Lakes neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013319903?
Median gross rent is $1,682/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319903?
13.9% of residents in tract 04013319903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,212.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 33th, minority 44th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 04013319903 considered part of The Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319903 fall within The Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 516 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.50% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013319903 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013319903 compare to Tempe overall?
Tract 04013319903 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tempe
Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Culdesac Tempe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Cascade
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Tempe Junction
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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