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Neighborhood · Tempe, AZ

The Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,212 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

The Lakes maps to a single census tract in Tempe, AZ and houses 5,212 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 64% against 31.3% citywide, putting The Lakes 32.4% over its own city. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 516 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 11.6% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.3% in 2005 against a 11.6% peak.

That places it #7 of 14 neighborhoods in Tempe. The closest comparables inside the same city are McClintock Manor and Campo Allegre Tract.

Average gross rent runs $1,682, close to the Tempe average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $100,567. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Lakes vs Tempe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.7% +104%
Tempe: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$1,682 -3%
Tempe: $1,743
Average HH income
$100,567 +30%
Tempe: $77,643
Poverty rate
13.9% -14%
Tempe: 16.2%
Renter share
36.2% -37%
Tempe: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why The Lakes scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
13.9% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

The Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Lakes: 4.24.2The LakesNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in The Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04013319903 4.2 5,212 64% $1,682
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Lakes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 516Total filings (sum)
  • 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak year (2002)
  • 10.30%Latest filed (2005)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Lakes?

The Lakes scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Lakes compare to Tempe overall?

The Lakes scores 0.0 points higher than Tempe overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,682 vs $1,743.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Lakes?

Average gross rent in The Lakes is $1,682/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Lakes residents are renters?

36% of The Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Tempe). The neighborhood has 5,212 residents.
Q5

Is The Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

The Lakes sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is The Lakes for landlords?

The Lakes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tempe as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of The Lakes?

The Lakes has 5,367 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.2%), Hispanic / Latino (15.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tempe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Lakes.

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