Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004035 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,146
04019004035 is a census tract in Tucson, AZ. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 64% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,759
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$44,962
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1858, -110.8124 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,323 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,131Total filings over 12 yrs
- 14.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.3%Peak (2008)
- 69Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 35% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.2%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $44,962 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
At $1,323 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Tucson commands. The filing record is not thin: 1,131 evictions over 12 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 20.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004035
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004035?
Census tract 04019004035 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004035?
Median gross rent is $1,323/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004035?
21.8% of residents in tract 04019004035 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,146.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004035?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 92th, minority 70th, housing 65th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004035?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,131 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004035 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.03% of renter households, peaking at 20.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004035 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004035 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004035 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004407
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002400
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002503
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Blue Moon
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002504
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003505
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Miracle Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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