Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Miramonte Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003202 ·
Pima, AZ · pop 2,879 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 04019003202 sits in the Miramonte area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It is home to 2,879 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%Stable renters 36%Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,640
Renter share76.7%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$42,628
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Miramonte
Moderate
Within parent city
67th percentile
#48 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Elevated
Within county
89th percentile
#32 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
96th percentile
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2317, -110.9065 · click any tract to drill in
Why Miramonte scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,083 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Miramonte compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
91%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
16.5%Housing insecurity
13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
23.7%Food insecurity
22.2%SNAP enrollment
13.7%Transit barriers
14.4%No health insurance
19.7%Frequent mental distress
38.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Miramonte
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Cost burden runs 54% here against 43.8% across Pima County. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,083, close to the Tucson average.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $42,628.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003202?
Census tract 04019003202 in the Miramonte neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003202?
Median gross rent is $1,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003202?
29.0% of residents in tract 04019003202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,879.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 84th, minority 67th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003202 considered part of Miramonte?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003202 fall within Miramonte (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003202 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003202 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003202 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.