Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019003801 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,013
Census tract 04019003801 covers part of Tucson, AZ, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,013. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.3% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,098
Renter share49.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate29.1%
Median income$31,314
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1700, -110.9735 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
29.1% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$755 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 529Total filings over 12 yrs
- 9.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2012)
- 37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.7%Housing insecurity
- 17.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.4%Food insecurity
- 30.6%SNAP enrollment
- 19.1%Transit barriers
- 32.3%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 46.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $755, 34% below the Tucson average.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 30.6% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Cost burden runs 50% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Court records carry 529 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003801?
Census tract 04019003801 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003801?
Median gross rent is $755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003801?
29.1% of residents in tract 04019003801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,013.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 61th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 529 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.45% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003801 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003801 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003801 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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