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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004307 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,266 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Green Valley

How risky is Green Valley for landlords? Census tract 04019004307 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,170 a month against an average household income of $55,766 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share9.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$55,766

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Green Valley
Moderate
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#176 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Centroid at 31.8735, -110.9842 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Valley scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Valley
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Valley
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Valley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Valley
7.0

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 004307Green Valley: 2.52.5Green Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2004)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190043072004: 1 filings (0.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.57/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.40/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Valley

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004307?

Census tract 04019004307 in Green Valley scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004307?

Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004307?

5.4% of residents in tract 04019004307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,266.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 63th, minority 20th, housing 34th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04019004307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.51% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004307 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004307 compare to Green Valley overall?

Tract 04019004307 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Green Valley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley

Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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