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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004065 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,960

Tract 04019004065, home to 3,960 residents in Tucson, scores 5.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,726 monthly, set against $106,591 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 13% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,382
Renter share25.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$106,591

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#140 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#179 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#1,126 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.1057, -110.7888 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,726 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 004065Tucson: 3.23.2Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 104Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2008)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190040652004: 7 filings (19.90/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (3.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 7 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2008: 16 filings (11.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (1.60/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (3.62/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 104 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.6% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004065

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004065?

Census tract 04019004065 in Tucson scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004065?

Median gross rent is $1,726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004065?

3.0% of residents in tract 04019004065 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,960.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004065?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 42th, minority 55th, housing 13th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004065?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004065 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.05% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004065 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004065 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004065 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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