Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Valley View Eviction Risk: Lower , Casas Adobes
Tract 04019004617 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,511 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
04019004617 is a census tract in the Valley View area of Casas Adobes, AZ. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,511. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,415
Renter share56.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$61,863
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region
Centroid at 32.3184, -110.9852 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley View scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Casas Adobes
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,414 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Casas Adobes
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Casas Adobes
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Casas Adobes
5.3
How Valley View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 946Total filings over 12 yrs
- 9.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.1%Peak (2004)
- 63Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley View. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley View
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Pima County average of 43.8%.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 946 evictions over 12 years of observation. At $1,414 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Casas Adobes commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 20.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004617
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004617?
Census tract 04019004617 in the Valley View neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004617?
Median gross rent is $1,414/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004617?
7.2% of residents in tract 04019004617 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,511.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004617?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 42th, minority 47th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004617 considered part of Valley View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004617 fall within Valley View (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004617?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 946 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004617 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.75% of renter households, peaking at 20.1% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004617 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004617 compare to Casas Adobes overall?
Tract 04019004617 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Casas Adobes at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Casas Adobes eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Casas Adobes
Top eight tracts in Casas Adobes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
04019004626
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004625
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Valley View
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004627
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Casas Adobes
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004647
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
04019004621
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · AZ
Casas Adobes
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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