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Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004317 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,721

The Elevated-tier score of 6.1/10 for census tract 04019004317 reflects conditions in Green Valley, Arizona. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

78% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,003 monthly, set against $43,817 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 4% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,952
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$43,817

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Green Valley
Very High
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#145 of 270 tracts In Pima
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#859 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Centroid at 31.8736, -110.9931 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Valley scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Valley
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,003 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Valley
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Valley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Valley
7.0

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 004317Green Valley: 2.52.5Green Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.5%Peak (2008)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190043172004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 1 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Valley

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004317?

Census tract 04019004317 in Green Valley scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004317?

Median gross rent is $1,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004317?

12.7% of residents in tract 04019004317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,721.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 52th, minority 15th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04019004317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.43% of renter households, peaking at 0.5% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004317 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004317 compare to Green Valley overall?

Tract 04019004317 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Green Valley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley

Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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