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Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004328 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,341 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Green Valley

Tract 04019004328, home to 3,341 residents in Green Valley, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,408 a month against an average household income of $71,392 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 7% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,157
Renter share16.4%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$71,392

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Green Valley
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Centroid at 31.8437, -111.0373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Valley scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Green Valley
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Green Valley
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Green Valley
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Green Valley
7.0

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Green Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 004328Green Valley: 2.52.5Green Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.8%Peak (2010)
  • 1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190043282004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 1 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 1 filings (0.30/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Valley

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 3.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004328

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004328?

Census tract 04019004328 in Green Valley scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004328?

Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004328?

6.8% of residents in tract 04019004328 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,341.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004328?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 29th, minority 2th, housing 2th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004328?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04019004328 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.53% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004328 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004328 compare to Green Valley overall?

Tract 04019004328 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Green Valley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley

Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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