Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Broadway Northeast Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004072 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,766 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04019004072 in the Broadway Northeast area of Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,766 residents. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,187
Renter share59.8%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$69,158
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2277, -110.8110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broadway Northeast scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,224 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Broadway Northeast compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,210Total filings over 12 yrs
- 13.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2007)
- 72Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Broadway Northeast. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.7%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broadway Northeast
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The filing record is not thin: 1,210 evictions over 12 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 12.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004072
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004072?
Census tract 04019004072 in the Broadway Northeast neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004072?
Median gross rent is $1,224/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004072?
1.8% of residents in tract 04019004072 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,766.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004072?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 70th, minority 57th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004072 considered part of Broadway Northeast?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004072 fall within Broadway Northeast (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004072?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,210 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004072 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.32% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004072 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004072 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004072 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004112
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004035
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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