Within parent city
12
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004074 · Pima, AZ · pop 1,755
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 04019004074 (Tucson in Pima County, Arizona) comes in at 5.6/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,548 a month while the average household earns $82,500 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units678
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$82,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.0862, -110.7889 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,548 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 12 yrs
- 3.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2008)
- 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.6% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004074
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004074?
Census tract 04019004074 in Tucson scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004074?
Median gross rent is $1,548/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004074?
5.3% of residents in tract 04019004074 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,755.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004074?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 47th, minority 64th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004074?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004074 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.05% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004074 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004074 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004074 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
West University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019002202
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
Keeling
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
El Cortez
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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