Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Cost burden runs 34% here against 43.8% across Pima County.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 31.0% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,254 filings here across 12 tracked years. At $989 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Tucson commands. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 74.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 65.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.