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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04019004432 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,467

Tract 04019004432 sits in Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 41% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share79.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate27.0%
Median income$48,176

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 143 tracts In Tucson
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2200, -111.0245 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.0% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 004432Tucson: 3.83.8Tucsonparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Cost burden runs 48% here against 43.8% across Pima County. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,101, close to the Tucson average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $48,176.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004432

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004432?

Census tract 04019004432 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004432?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004432?

27.0% of residents in tract 04019004432 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,467.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004432?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 4th, minority 73th, housing 28th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04019004432 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04019004432 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019004432 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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