Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Eloy Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04021001900 · Pinal, AZ · pop 2,331 · 64% of tract blocks fall in Eloy
Tract 04021001900 sits in Eloy eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,331 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units924
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$45,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eloy and the region
Centroid at 32.7832, -111.6668 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eloy scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eloy
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$748 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eloy
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eloy
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eloy
6.6
How Eloy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.4%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.0%Food insecurity
- 30.1%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 25.2%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 47.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eloy
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.5% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $748, 24% below the Eloy average.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.4% against 14.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021001900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001900?
Census tract 04021001900 in Eloy scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021001900?
Median gross rent is $748/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001900?
22.8% of residents in tract 04021001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,331.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 100th, minority 83th, housing 74th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021001900 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021001900 compare to Eloy overall?
Tract 04021001900 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Eloy at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eloy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eloy
Top eight tracts in Eloy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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