Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Eloy Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04021002106 · Pinal, AZ · pop 1,702 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Eloy
Census tract 04021002106 covers part of Eloy, AZ, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.2/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units491
Renter share11.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate24.5%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eloy and the region
Centroid at 32.6839, -111.6601 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eloy scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eloy
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
24.5% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eloy
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eloy
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eloy
6.6
How Eloy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 19.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 17.9%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eloy
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10.
Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.4/10.
Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021002106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021002106?
Census tract 04021002106 in Eloy scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021002106?
24.5% of residents in tract 04021002106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,702.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021002106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 68th, minority 66th, housing 71th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 04021002106 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 04021002106 compare to Eloy overall?
Tract 04021002106 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Eloy at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eloy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eloy
Top eight tracts in Eloy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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