Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Eloy Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04021002005 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,979 · 19% of tract blocks fall in Eloy
Tract 04021002005 sits in Eloy eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 6,979. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units129
Renter share20.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$69,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Eloy and the region
Centroid at 32.8141, -111.5411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eloy scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Eloy
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,308 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eloy
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eloy
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eloy
6.6
How Eloy compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.5%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.3%Food insecurity
- 28.1%SNAP enrollment
- 19.9%Transit barriers
- 30.9%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 40.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eloy
Food insecurity runs 39.3% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,308 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of Eloy commands.
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 28.5% against 14.2% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. Against the Pinal County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04021002005
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021002005?
Census tract 04021002005 in Eloy scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04021002005?
Median gross rent is $1,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04021002005?
18.8% of residents in tract 04021002005 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,979.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04021002005?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 53th, minority 78th, housing 52th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04021002005 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04021002005 compare to Eloy overall?
Tract 04021002005 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Eloy at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eloy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Eloy
Top eight tracts in Eloy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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