Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Eloy Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04021002004 · Pinal, AZ · pop 3,961 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Eloy

Tract 04021002004 sits in Eloy eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 27% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$44,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Eloy
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 95 tracts In Pinal
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#138 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eloy and the region

Centroid at 32.7556, -111.5376 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eloy scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eloy
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eloy
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eloy
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eloy
6.6

How Eloy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eloy risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 002004Eloy: 3.73.7Eloyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eloy

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 37.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Pinal County average of 3.8.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. 43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pinal County average of 37.6%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.6/10.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $926, close to the Eloy average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $44,095. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021002004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021002004?

Census tract 04021002004 in Eloy scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04021002004?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021002004?

27.8% of residents in tract 04021002004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,961.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021002004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04021002004 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04021002004 compare to Eloy overall?

Tract 04021002004 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Eloy at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eloy eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eloy

Top eight tracts in Eloy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related