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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Van Buren Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05033020204 · Crawford County, AR · pop 6,206 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Van Buren

Van Buren anchors census tract 05033020204, which lands at 2.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 1% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $765 a month while the average household earns $70,484 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 10% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,359
Renter share12.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$70,484

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Van Buren
Very Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 15 tracts In Crawford County
Very Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#553 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Van Buren and the region

Centroid at 35.4984, -94.3119 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Buren scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4

How Van Buren compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Buren risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 020204Van Buren: 2.52.5Van Burenparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 0.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.4%Peak (2004)
  • 1Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 050330202042002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Buren

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Crawford County average of 3.5 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05033020204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020204?

Census tract 05033020204 in Van Buren scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05033020204?

Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020204?

9.4% of residents in tract 05033020204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,206.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 52th, minority 31th, housing 76th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05033020204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 05033020204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.36% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 05033020204 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05033020204 compare to Van Buren overall?

Tract 05033020204 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren

Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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