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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Van Buren Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05033020502 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,371 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Van Buren

Van Buren anchors census tract 05033020502, which lands at 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 8% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $720 monthly, set against $44,398 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 38% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,596
Renter share61.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$44,398

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Van Buren
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 15 tracts In Crawford County
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#198 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Van Buren and the region

Centroid at 35.4413, -94.3240 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Buren scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$720 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4

How Van Buren compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Buren risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 020502Van Buren: 2.52.5Van Burenparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.1%Peak (2002)
  • 1Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 050330205022002: 1 filings (0.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.11/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Buren

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Crawford County average of 3.5 and below the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05033020502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020502?

Census tract 05033020502 in Van Buren scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05033020502?

Median gross rent is $720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020502?

22.4% of residents in tract 05033020502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,371.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 93th, minority 39th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05033020502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 05033020502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.11% of renter households, peaking at 0.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 05033020502 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05033020502 compare to Van Buren overall?

Tract 05033020502 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren

Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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