Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Van Buren Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05033020501 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,187 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Van Buren
Eviction risk in Van Buren eviction risk centers on tract 05033020501, which scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,187 residents. On the national scale it ranks #71,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $867 a month while the average household earns $60,852 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,522
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$60,852
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Van Buren and the region
Centroid at 35.3921, -94.3111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Van Buren scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4
How Van Buren compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.8%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.9%Food insecurity
- 19.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 20.4%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 44.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Van Buren
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Crawford County average of 3.5 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05033020501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020501?
Census tract 05033020501 in Van Buren scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05033020501?
Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020501?
29.9% of residents in tract 05033020501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,187.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 79th, minority 62th, housing 46th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05033020501 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05033020501 compare to Van Buren overall?
Tract 05033020501 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren
Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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