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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Van Buren Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05033020501 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,187 · 81% of tract blocks fall in Van Buren

Census tract 05033020501 covers part of Van Buren, AR, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,187. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 0.2/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 22% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,522
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$60,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Van Buren
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Crawford County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#78 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Van Buren and the region

Centroid at 35.3921, -94.3111 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Buren scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4

How Van Buren compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Buren risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0205013.7Van Burenparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Buren

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Crawford County average of 3.6. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.4% against 11.3% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $60,852, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 05033020501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020501?

Census tract 05033020501 in Van Buren scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05033020501?

Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020501?

29.9% of residents in tract 05033020501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 79th, minority 62th, housing 46th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 05033020501 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 05033020501 compare to Van Buren overall?

Tract 05033020501 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren

Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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