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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Van Buren Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 05033020301 · Crawford County, AR · pop 4,183 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

In the Van Buren Historic District area of Van Buren, census tract 05033020301 scores 3.8/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 9% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $877 monthly, set against $68,187 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 12% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share29.5%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$68,187

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Van Buren Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Van Buren
Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 15 tracts In Crawford County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#533 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Van Buren and the region

Centroid at 35.4536, -94.3410 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Buren Historic District scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Van Buren
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.2
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Van Buren
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Van Buren
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Van Buren
6.4

How Van Buren Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Buren Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 020301Van Buren: 2.52.5Van Burenparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 0.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.3%Peak (2013)
  • 1Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 050330203012002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.31/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Buren Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Buren Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Crawford County average of 3.5 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05033020301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05033020301?

Census tract 05033020301 in the Van Buren Historic District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05033020301?

Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05033020301?

10.3% of residents in tract 05033020301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,183.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05033020301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 90th, minority 32th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 05033020301 considered part of Van Buren Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05033020301 fall within Van Buren Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05033020301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 05033020301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.31% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 05033020301 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 05033020301 compare to Van Buren overall?

Tract 05033020301 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Van Buren at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Van Buren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Van Buren

Top eight tracts in Van Buren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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