Neighborhood · Fayetteville, AR

The Coves Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,860 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

The Coves is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fayetteville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,860 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,866/month sits 75% higher than the Fayetteville citywide average ($1,065).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

The Coves vs Fayetteville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.7% +85%

Fayetteville: 29.6%

Average gross rent

$1,866 +75%

Fayetteville: $1,065

Average HH income

$86,634 +47%

Fayetteville: $59,074

Poverty rate

16.1% -25%

Fayetteville: 21.4%

Renter share

34.1% -41%

Fayetteville: 58.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Coves and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why The Coves scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

34% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

16.1% below poverty line · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

The Coves vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in The Coves

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
05143010520	4.6	3,860	55%	$1,866

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 3

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 4%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 3%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Coves

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.0%Housing insecurity
9.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
31.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Coves

What is the eviction-risk score for The Coves?

The Coves scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Coves compare to Fayetteville overall?

The Coves scores 2.3 points higher than Fayetteville overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,866 vs $1,065.

What is the average rent in The Coves?

Average gross rent in The Coves is $1,866/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of The Coves residents are renters?

34% of The Coves households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Fayetteville). The neighborhood has 3,860 residents.

Is The Coves a high social-vulnerability area?

The Coves sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is The Coves for landlords?

The Coves carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fayetteville as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Coves?

The Coves has 3,931 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70%), Hispanic / Latino (15.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Coves

5.8 University House 2 tracts · pop 6,936 5.7 Maple Valley 2 tracts · pop 8,485 6.7 The Vue 3 tracts · pop 13,758 6.1 VA Hill 2 tracts · pop 6,779 6.1 Elm-Erstan-Baker 2 tracts · pop 6,794

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fayetteville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Coves.

4.9 Forest Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,164 5.5 The Cliffs 1 tracts · pop 4,224 3.5 Mission Heights 1 tracts · pop 6,473 5.7 Maple Valley 2 tracts · pop 8,485 5.7 University House 2 tracts · pop 6,936 6 Elm-Erstan-Baker 2 tracts · pop 6,794

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