1 census tracts · pop 3,860 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10
· range 3.2–3.2
The Coves maps to a single census tract in Fayetteville, AR and houses 3,860 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Against a Fayetteville baseline of 29.6%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $1,866, 75% above the Fayetteville average of $1,065. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 68.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Fayetteville, it ranks #8 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mission Heights and Forest Heights. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $86,634.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Coves vs FayettevilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Coves
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.0%Housing insecurity
9.3%Utility shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
31.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Coves
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Coves?
The Coves scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Coves compare to Fayetteville overall?
The Coves scores 0.2 points lower than Fayetteville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,866 vs $1,065.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Coves?
Average gross rent in The Coves is $1,866/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Coves residents are renters?
34% of The Coves households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Fayetteville). The neighborhood has 3,860 residents.
Q5
Is The Coves a high social-vulnerability area?
The Coves sits in the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Coves for landlords?
The Coves carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fayetteville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Coves?
The Coves has 3,931 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70%), Hispanic / Latino (15.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
