Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
The Coves Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010520 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,860 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 05143010520, home to 3,860 residents in the The Coves neighborhood of Fayetteville, scores 4.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,866 a month against an average household income of $86,634 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$86,634
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.0611, -94.2260 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Coves scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,866 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How The Coves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Coves
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010520
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010520?
Census tract 05143010520 in the The Coves neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010520?
Median gross rent is $1,866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010520?
16.1% of residents in tract 05143010520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,860.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010520?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 4th, minority 38th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 05143010520 considered part of The Coves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010520 fall within The Coves (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05143010520 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05143010520 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010520 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
VA Hill
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Elm-Erstan-Baker
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05143011105
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
University House
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Maple Valley
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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