Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
The Coves Eviction Risk: Lower , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010520 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,860 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 05143010520 in the The Coves area of Fayetteville, AR reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,860. Cost burden runs 55% here against 36.0% across Washington County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,506
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$86,634
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.0611, -94.2260 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Coves scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,866 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How The Coves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Coves
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. At $1,866 a month, rents run 75% over what the rest of Fayetteville commands.
The voucher gap is 68.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Washington County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $86,634.
34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010520
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010520?
Census tract 05143010520 in the The Coves neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010520?
Median gross rent is $1,866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010520?
16.1% of residents in tract 05143010520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,860.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010520?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 4th, minority 38th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 05143010520 considered part of The Coves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010520 fall within The Coves (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05143010520 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05143010520 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010520 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05143011105
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
University House
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Maple Valley
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Elm-Erstan-Baker
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
VA Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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