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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

VA Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville

Tract 05143010704 · Washington County, AR · pop 4,645 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 05143010704 covers part of the VA Hill area of Fayetteville, AR, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,645 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 34% Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,944
Renter share98.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate38.3%
Median income$24,557

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In VA Hill
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 25 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 54 tracts In Washington County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 36.0779, -94.1722 · click any tract to drill in

Why VA Hill scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.3% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5

How VA Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
VA Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0107043.4Fayettevilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within VA Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in VA Hill

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Washington County average of 36.0%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.6/10. This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $24,557, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $823 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Fayetteville commands.

Against the Washington County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Food insecurity runs 26.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010704?

Census tract 05143010704 in the VA Hill neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010704?

Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010704?

38.3% of residents in tract 05143010704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,645.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 3th, minority 49th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 05143010704 considered part of VA Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010704 fall within VA Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05143010704 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05143010704 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 05143010704 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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