Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010602 · Washington County, AR · pop 4,068 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 05143010602 covers part of the Maple Valley area of Fayetteville, AR, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,068 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units2,102
Renter share81.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$32,128
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.0883, -94.1853 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Valley scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$927 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How Maple Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 23.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Valley
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Cost burden runs 48% here against 36.0% across Washington County. Set annual rent against average income of $32,128 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Washington County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 25.5% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $927, 13% below the Fayetteville average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010602?
Census tract 05143010602 in the Maple Valley neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010602?
Median gross rent is $927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010602?
26.8% of residents in tract 05143010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,068.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 4th, minority 43th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 05143010602 considered part of Maple Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010602 fall within Maple Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05143010602 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05143010602 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010602 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
University House
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
Elm-Erstan-Baker
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
VA Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05143011105
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
The Vue
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AR
05143010114
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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