Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06001422902 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,022 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

06001422902 is a census tract in the Downtown Berkeley area of Berkeley, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 51% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units1,335

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate38.7%

Median income$65,285

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8688, -122.2698 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Berkeley scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

38.7% poverty · this tract

9.7

Supply constraint

$1,866 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Berkeley

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Berkeley

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

How Downtown Berkeley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

46%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Berkeley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.9%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
6.5%No health insurance
20.5%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Berkeley

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 2.1 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8. Set annual rent against average income of $65,285 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,866, 13% below the Berkeley average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001422902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001422902?

Census tract 06001422902 in the Downtown Berkeley neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001422902?

Median gross rent is $1,866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001422902?

38.7% of residents in tract 06001422902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,022.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001422902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 3th, minority 79th, housing 97th.

Is tract 06001422902 considered part of Downtown Berkeley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001422902 fall within Downtown Berkeley (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001422902 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001422902 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001422902 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001422902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.