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Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06001430101 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,034 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Castro Valley

With a score of 5.9/10, tract 06001430101 in Castro Valley, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,034 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 4% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,240
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$211,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Castro Valley
Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#319 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#7,225 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,618 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.7273, -122.0150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,859 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 430101Castro Valley: 6.86.8Castro Valleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. It sits 1.9 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally. At $2,859 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Castro Valley commands. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $211,029, annual rent is just 16%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001430101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001430101?

Census tract 06001430101 in Castro Valley scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001430101?

Median gross rent is $2,859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001430101?

6.6% of residents in tract 06001430101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001430101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 33th, minority 77th, housing 7th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06001430101 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06001430101 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001430101 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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