Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06001431200 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,865 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Castro Valley
Census tract 06001431200 covers part of Castro Valley, CA, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,865 residents. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 81% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,318
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$104,646
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region
Centroid at 37.6871, -122.0835 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castro Valley scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,739 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1
How Castro Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley
The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,739, close to the Castro Valley average.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $104,646. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06001431200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001431200?
Census tract 06001431200 in Castro Valley scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06001431200?
Median gross rent is $2,739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06001431200?
6.7% of residents in tract 06001431200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06001431200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 50th, minority 76th, housing 87th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06001431200 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06001431200 compare to Castro Valley overall?
Tract 06001431200 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley
Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06001430500
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430900
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001431000
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430800
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001431100
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430600
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430101
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related