Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06001431000 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,091
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 06001431000 in Castro Valley, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,091 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,219
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$96,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region
Centroid at 37.6929, -122.0785 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castro Valley scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,502 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1
How Castro Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Alameda County average of 7.8 closely. Average gross rent is $2,502, close to the Castro Valley average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $96,250.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06001431000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001431000?
Census tract 06001431000 in Castro Valley scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06001431000?
Median gross rent is $2,502/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06001431000?
9.1% of residents in tract 06001431000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06001431000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 60th, minority 81th, housing 94th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06001431000 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06001431000 compare to Castro Valley overall?
Tract 06001431000 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley
Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06001430500
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430900
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430800
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001431200
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001431100
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430600
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430700
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001430101
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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