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Census Tract · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06001431100 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,259 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Castro Valley

Tract 06001431100 sits in Castro Valley, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. It is home to 3,259 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 32% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,283
Renter share69.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$105,329

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 14 tracts In Castro Valley
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#273 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#6,559 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,571 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.6881, -122.0673 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,567 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 431100Castro Valley: 6.86.8Castro Valleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

It sits 1.5 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Alameda County average of 45.5%. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #16,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,567, close to the Castro Valley average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $105,329.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001431100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001431100?

Census tract 06001431100 in Castro Valley scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001431100?

Median gross rent is $2,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001431100?

2.7% of residents in tract 06001431100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,259.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001431100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 35th, minority 81th, housing 86th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06001431100 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06001431100 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001431100 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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