Census Tract · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06001430800 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,814

Tract 06001430800 sits in Castro Valley, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. It is home to 5,814 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units2,081

Renter share28.1%

SVI overall0.60

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$101,784

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.6992, -122.0650 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Castro Valley

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$2,587 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Castro Valley

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Castro Valley

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Castro Valley

6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.1%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.8%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $2,587, close to the Castro Valley average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $101,784.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001430800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001430800?

Census tract 06001430800 in Castro Valley scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001430800?

Median gross rent is $2,587/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001430800?

7.0% of residents in tract 06001430800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,814.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001430800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 63th, minority 71th, housing 82th.

What share of households in tract 06001430800 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001430800 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001430800 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.