San Lorenzo Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $3,063 a month, rents run 42% over what the rest of San Lorenzo commands. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The voucher gap is 14.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $117,841.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.