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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06001430200 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,713

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 06001430200 in Castro Valley, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,713. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 1% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,326
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$181,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Castro Valley
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#333 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.7217, -122.0616 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,829 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castro Valley
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castro Valley
6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castro Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 430200Castro Valley: 6.86.8Castro Valleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Alameda County average of 45.5%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. It sits 2.0 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,829 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Castro Valley commands.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001430200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001430200?

Census tract 06001430200 in Castro Valley scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001430200?

Median gross rent is $2,829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001430200?

5.2% of residents in tract 06001430200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,713.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001430200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 69th, minority 65th, housing 56th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06001430200 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06001430200 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001430200 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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