Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Castro Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06001435103 · Alameda, CA · pop 7,774 · 38% of tract blocks fall in Castro Valley

Census tract 06001435103 covers part of Castro Valley, CA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%

Tract context

Occupied units2,421

Renter share4.3%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$184,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castro Valley and the region

Centroid at 37.6517, -121.9828 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castro Valley scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Castro Valley

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Castro Valley

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Castro Valley

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Castro Valley

6.1

How Castro Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
5.6%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
23.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castro Valley

It sits 2.0 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001435103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001435103?

Census tract 06001435103 in Castro Valley scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001435103?

5.5% of residents in tract 06001435103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,774.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001435103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 22th, minority 76th, housing 20th.

What share of households in tract 06001435103 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001435103 compare to Castro Valley overall?

Tract 06001435103 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Castro Valley at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castro Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castro Valley

Top eight tracts in Castro Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.