Contempo Eviction Risk: Moderate , Union City

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 29% above the Union City average.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.