Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001409700 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,240 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06001409700 in the Elmhurst area of Oakland, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 15% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units1,693

Renter share76.8%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate33.2%

Median income$40,870

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7564, -122.1659 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

33.2% poverty · this tract

8.3

Supply constraint

$1,327 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

91%Socioeconomic
90%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
6%Grade B
71%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.4%Housing insecurity
23.1%Utility-shutoff threat
46.4%Food insecurity
50.4%SNAP enrollment
23.7%Transit barriers
20.5%No health insurance
24.0%Frequent mental distress
45.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

81% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Alameda County average of 45.5%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

SNAP participation runs 50.4% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 9.7/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $40,870 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Average gross rent is $1,327, 33% below the Oakland average. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001409700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001409700?

Census tract 06001409700 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001409700?

Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001409700?

33.2% of residents in tract 06001409700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,240.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001409700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 90th, minority 92th, housing 99th.

Is tract 06001409700 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001409700 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001409700 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001409700 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001409700 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001409700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.