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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Temescal Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 5,537 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Temescal maps to a single census tract in Oakland, CA, population 5,537. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.9/10, in the High tier. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Average gross rent is $2,198, 11% above the Oakland average of $1,979. That places it #1 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland.

For a like-for-like read, San Pablo Gateway and Seminary Park score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $95,479.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Temescal vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +45%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,198 +11%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$95,479 -2%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
10.2% -25%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
82.2% +43%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Temescal and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Temescal scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
82% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
10.2% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Temescal vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Temescal score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Temescal: 9.99.9TemescalNeighborhoodParent city: 9.69.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Temescal

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001401100 9.9 5,537 44% $2,198
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 9%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Temescal

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Temescal

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Temescal?

Temescal scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Temescal compare to Oakland overall?

Temescal scores 0.3 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,198 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Temescal?

Average gross rent in Temescal is $2,198/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Temescal residents are renters?

82% of Temescal households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 5,537 residents.
Q5

Is Temescal a high social-vulnerability area?

Temescal sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Temescal for landlords?

Temescal carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Temescal?

Temescal has 5,627 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Temescal

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Temescal.

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