A free tool from NextGen Properties — $500M+ AUM

Berkeley, CA Eviction Risk Score Contra Costa County · California · Population 120,223

9.1 Very High
61.6%Tenant-law probability
$16,123–39,621Typical eviction cost
267 daysTypical timeline
$2,127Median gross rent
32.9%Rent burden
56.7%Renters

Sub-score breakdown

Local political climate
7.5
Dem margin +45.3% in 2020
Regional political climate
7.5
Dem margin +45.3% in 2020
State political climate
6.8
Economic stress
7.3
16.8% poverty · 6.0% unemployed
Supply constraint
9.5
$2,127 median rent · 56.7% renters
Rent-control risk
7.7
32.9% rent burden
Eviction process difficulty
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
9.5
56.7% renters
Housing court bias
7.5

Sub-scores are national percentile rankings (1 = most landlord-friendly, 10 = most tenant-protective) derived from ACS 2023 5-year data, 2020 county presidential margin, and state law weighting. Source: ACS 2023 5-year + Gazetteer 2024.

Location & regional heat

Heat density reflects surrounding cities. Click any nearby city to compare.

Own rentals in or near Berkeley?
Get a free consultation covering local rent-control exposure, notice requirements, and eviction defense risk.
Free Consultation →

About eviction risk in Berkeley, CA

Berkeley, CA has an eviction risk score of 9.1 out of 10, placing it in the very high-risk tier for landlords operating in Contra Costa County and the state of California. The score combines local political climate, court disposition patterns, cost-of-eviction estimates, tenant organizing strength, and the likelihood of new tenant-protective legislation in the next legislative cycle.

Census ACS 2023 5-year estimates show median gross rent as a percentage of household income is 32.9% — a core driver of eviction filings, because households above 30% of income on rent are statistically more likely to miss a payment after any income shock. Median gross rent in Berkeley is $2,127/month. About 56.7% of occupied units here are renter-occupied.

Economic stress: poverty rate 16.8%, unemployment 6.0%. Higher values correlate with higher eviction filing rates and longer court timelines.

Political climate: In 2020, Contra Costa County voted Democratic by 45.3 points — classified as strongly tenant-leaning for purposes of rent-control or just-cause expansion risk.

What this score means for landlords

At 9.1/10, Berkeley is a high-risk environment. Expect exposure to just-cause requirements, relocation payments, extended notice periods, longer court timelines, and tenant attorneys contesting summary proceedings. Budget conservatively for cost and timeline, and audit lease addenda, disclosures, and notice templates against the latest state and local ordinances before any non-payment or holdover action.

Nearby Cities — Eviction Risk Comparison

Landlord Guides & Research Tools

Deepen your market research with these ACS-data guides. The metrics powering this score feed directly into each ranking.